Summary:
Gained 1.4% in last full week of the year. SNEN reported earnings above expectations, but most was from a one-time gain. Besides that they were inline, but there was no reaffirmation of guidance like in October. IR said they’ve decided not to issue guidance anymore which I find worrisome. I’ll be cutting back and trying to get more info.
For the week I sold some SNEN and opened a short in Starwood (HOT), the hotel company, which has mountains of debt and falling profitability.
Positions:
Long: ALSWF AGNC CFC-B GREXF MDNNF MEAOF NRF NRF-B SGTI SNEN WHX.
Short: CRM GAP HOT GCI MEG MNI TOL.
Calls Long: .
Calls Short: .
Puts Short: NRF Jan 5, Jun 5.
Cash: 24.6%
Short Pct: 21.8%
Read:
Stocks Researched:
Positions most worried about: SNEN – how hard will China slowdown hit.
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: the market
.
Thinking about:
Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat, 1.0; .
Tech: ??
China: ??; economy softening more than expected
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, but price rises.
Gold: who knows?
Copper: flat-down, 2.0. US demand falling.
Real life: fairly productive. designing a new Facebook app
Weekly sleep and exercise: injured again; playing soccer but not much else.
Mood: decent.

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