Summary:
The gains don’t last as I fell 3.4%. Did a bunch of swing trading mainly of NRF and CMO and sold some OCNF. I added to my FAF short and sold short some TOL. Those blew up in my face on Friday. I also sold some Jun 5 NRF puts.
The market seems to have a little momentum. Am I going too short? I’m pretty comfortable with FAF, and TOL. I may have to think about closing CRM. I must also remember how quickly the optimism has faded in earlier “recoveries”.
Positions:
Long: AHR-C ALSWF ANH CNEH CFC-B GREXF MDNNF MEAOF MLKKF NRF NRF-B OCNF RICK SGTI SNEN WHX.
Short: CRM GAP GCI HOG MEG MNI TOL.
Calls Long: .
Calls Short: .
Puts Short: NRF Dec 7.5, Jan 5, Jun 5.
Cash: 6.4%
Short Pct: 17.6%
Read:
Stocks Researched:
Positions most worried about: remains of AHR-C.
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: the market
.
Thinking about:
Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat-up, 2.0; dead cat bounce at the least and lots of intervention.
Tech: ??
China: ??; softening economy priced in?
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, but price rises.
Gold: who knows?
Copper: flat-down, 2.0. US demand falling.
Real life: productive. designing a new Facebook app
Weekly sleep and exercise: soccer and abs.
Mood: decent.