Week Ending 10/17/08

Summary:

Well the good news is I finished positive for the week, but by only a paltry 1.4%.  I suppose anything positive is good these days, but last Friday had me hoping for a bit more of a rebound.

For the week I added SNEN and CMO, while lightening on RICK since I think this will recover later than divy-rich government guaranteed things like CMO.  I swung-traded some AHR-C and sold OSUWF, some warrant I have been holding but seem to have forgotten to mention.  Lost almost everything on these but was a tiny position.  Chalk this one up to excitement-seeking.  I’ve been undisciplined on little issues like this though luckily keep the positions small.  I was also assign NRF and NLY from the #@%@# puts I sold.

I’m not optimistic short term though don’t think we can go that much lower than this.

Positions:
Long: AHR AHR-C ALSWF ANH EPMWF GREXF MDNNF MEAOF MLKKF NRF-B QADMF RICK SGTI SNEN XSI WHX
Short: GAP GCI MEG MNI TOL.
Calls Long: CMO Nov 12.5.
Calls Short: .
Puts Short: NRF Dec 7.5.
Cash: 0.7%
Short Pct: 5.1%
Read:

Stocks Researched:

Positions most worried about: everything and nothing: what more can happen.
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: the market :-) .
Thinking about:

Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat-up, 2.0; dead cat bounce at the least and lots of intervention.
Tech: ??
China: ??; softening economy priced in?
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, but price rises.
Gold: who knows?
Copper: flat-down, 2.0. US demand falling.

Real life: back from Hawaii. Fairly productive.
Weekly sleep and exercise: biking and abs.  The abs are working wonders.
Mood: decent.

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