Week Ending 10/3/08

Summary:

Got pounded again.  Not sure since didn’t note down but probably 20%?  Near the end of my gains from the last two year.  ALSWF is just tanking but so is everything else.  Where does this end?  SGTI reported 4Q EPS of .16/share and annual of .52, on an under $3 stock.  Would seem a screaming buy in normal times.

I sold more ANCI (formerly XSI), some QADMF, shorted CRM and added some NRF-B.  Can’t believe the yields here.

Are we out of the soup?  Probably not

Positions:
Long: AHR AHR-C ALSWF ANH EPMWF GREXF MDNNF MEAOF MLKKF NRF NRF-B QADMF RICK SGTI SNEN XSI WHX
Short: GAP GCI MEG MNI TOL.
Calls Long: CMO Nov 12.5.
Calls Short: .
Puts Short: NLY Oct 17.5, 16; NRF Oct 7.5, Dec 7.5.
Cash: ??%
Short Pct: ??%
Read:

Stocks Researched:

Positions most worried about: MLKKF, QADMF: though copper may be stabilizing.
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: more LEH.
Thinking about:

Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat-down, 2.0; still not out of the soup.
Tech: ??
China: up, 2.0; strong economy and has fallen alot.
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, but price rises.
Gold: who knows?
Copper: flat-down, 2.0. US demand falling.

Real life: somewhat productive.
Weekly sleep and exercise: some soccer.  Sleep ok.
Mood: decent

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