Week Ending 7/25/08

Summary:

I lost 0.8% this week, ending my weekly winning streak at one.  Its a tough market.  Still, there was some good news.  SNEN, which used to be SNEN.OB before effecting a reverse split and becoming SINE and is now SNEN again, got its NASDAQ listing and raised this quarter’s guidance.  This a week after raising 2008 and 2009 annual guidance.  Also NRF declared its regular .36 quarterly dividend.  CMO reported solid results of .58/share, a decrease in leverage, and an increase in book value.  XSI pre-announced revenue up 225% up to $13 million.  Hopefully they are approaching the scale needed for the level of profitability they mentioned in previous conference calls.

I sold the NLY and MFA which was put to me last week, and trimmed some SGTI.  I also sold some CMO on Monday and Thursday and bought back at better prices on Friday.  I bought back my CNEH at slightly below what I sold it for.  Finally I shorted WB on Thursday when financials began to tank again.

I find the good news about my positions encouraging, but as said before, this is a tough market and even good stocks are getting trounced.  Perhaps time to raise more cash.

Positions:
Long: AHR AHR-C ALSWF ANH EPMWF GREXF MDNNF MEAOF MLKKF NRF QADMF RICK SFI SGTI SNEN XSI WHX
Short: GAP GCI KBH MEG MNI TOL WB.
Calls Long: ANH Jan 7.5; CMO Nov 12.5.
Calls Short: .
Puts Short: CMO Aug 12.5; NLY Oct 17.5, 16; NRF Sep 7.5.
Cash: 4.5%
Short Pct: 5.7%
Read:

Stocks Researched:

Positions most worried about: .
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: another financial blowup.
Thinking about:

Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat-down, 2.0; still not out of the soup.
Tech: ??
China: up, 2.0; strong economy and has fallen alot, looks like turning around.
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, but price rises.
Gold: who knows? has risen alot.
Copper: flat-up, 2.0. China demand.

Real life: getting more accomplished.
Weekly sleep and exercise: lots of soccer, some biking, and resumed boxing training. Sleep decent.
Mood: good

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