Daily Wrap 07/18/07

Summary:
Gained 0.8%. Sold short some LEN. I should have just kept this, but housing remains rocky and the news isn’t getting better. Also sold some NXG and some OKOFF.

Positions:
Long: JEQ NXG HBMFF ALSWF FFHL XSI NTLRF EXDUF GREXF MLKKF QADMF SHERF OKOFF OCNF ESEA MVO BWLRF SEA.
Short: GCI HBI HLS MNI AMZN YHOO BSC LEN.
Options:
Cash: 24.5%
Short Pct: 14.0%
Trades: sold OKOFF@0.84, sold NXG@3.17, shorted LEN@34.
Read:

Stocks Researched:

Hours spent on market: 1.0
Positions most worried about: XSI, can’t get in touch w/ management.
Positions most sanguine about:
Biggest market worries: rate rise induced meltdown
Thinking about:

Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: down, 2.0; rates are rising, Bear Stearn and subprime getting worse.
Tech: ??
Japan: flat-down, 1.0; political wobbles and subprime resonance.
China: flat-down, 1.0; bubbly and subprime spread.
Silver: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand.
Gold: flat s/t, 2.0, price action; l/t up, 1.0, industrial demand, GFMS study.
Copper: flat-up, 1.0. Strikes on the horizon.
Zinc: up, 2.0. Declining stocks.
Real life: Working on summer schedule, but busy w/ a special project.
Previous night sleep and exercise: 6.0 hrs; light biking Tuesday.
Mood: calm.

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