Daily Wrap 04/30/07

Summary:
Down 0.6% today.   Miners were mixed with metals prices.  Physical stocks of most industrial metals continued to fall, however, and these will not be helped by a strike in Peru.

I added more MLKKF and sold some EGLE.  Dry-bulk fundamentals continue to be strong, but some of the other dry bulkers may offer value.  Or so a report by brokerage Jefferies indicates.  I suppose with my recent gains I was looking to take some profits and EGLE’s run up and weakness today made it a candidate.

Today also vindicated my sale of TNH , another position which had run up.  I am still thinking of re-adding based on fundamentals, but after its fall today I think its better to let it drift for a while.

Positions:
Long: JEQ JSC AUY SLW NTO NXG HBMFF ALSWF JAGNF FFHL EGLE AOB XSI NTLRF NM NLY MDN.TO DSX ONAV ETEL GREXF MLKKF SEA OCNF
Short: BKC LEN GCI HBI HLS MNI
Options: AUY May 15 call
Cash: 7.7%
Short Pct: 10.3%
Trades: Added MLKKF@5.02; sold EGLE@22.51
Read:

Stocks Researched:

Hours spent on market: 0.5
Positions most worried about: FFHL, reporting seems suspicious.
Positions most sanguine about: XSI, good talk with the CEO.
Biggest market worries: economic softness in the US
Thinking about: shorting more. adding XSI, MLKKF.

Outlook ( up-flat-down surety rating: 1-5 reasoning):
US: flat, 2.0;
Tech: ??
Japan: up, 1.0; strong GDP, but weak international markets
China: up, 1.0; price action
Silver: up, 1.0; industrial demand.
Gold: up, 2.0; GFMS study.
Copper: up, 2.0. Declining stocks.
Zinc: ??
Real life: Busy with studies.
Previous night sleep and exercise: 5.0 hrs; soccer Friday.
Mood: Good.

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